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Footballbettingpredictor's value selections

Discussion in 'Tips' started by FootballBettingPredictor, Jun 2, 2017.

?

Who will come out on top

  1. FootballBettingPredictor

    4 vote(s)
    50.0%
  2. The bookmakers odds compilers

    1 vote(s)
    12.5%
  3. Don't care

    3 vote(s)
    37.5%
  1. footysystems

    footysystems Colt

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    It is Dave but nice in the weather :)
     
    dave58 likes this.
  2. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Results
    Back Draw/Botafogo @ 1.66 (2-2) Won +6.60pts
    Profit/Loss of the day +6.60 pts
    Overall Profit/Loss +45.6 pts
     
    mandkay, djb38, Keegans head and 2 others like this.
  3. djb38

    djb38 Gelding

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    Well played @FootballBettingPredictor
    2.0 to botafogo at half time puts you in a very nice position.
    This would have been another good selection for @StuBoy10 thread, laying the away team if they take the lead against the prematch home favourite
     
    StuBoy10 likes this.
  4. StuBoy10

    StuBoy10 Foal

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    Unfortunately I need to sleep at sometime lol
     
    djb38 likes this.
  5. djb38

    djb38 Gelding

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    Apologies @StuBoy10
    I'd forgotten that you've just got back off your honeymoon :whistle:
     
    Keegans head likes this.
  6. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Finn Harps - Shamrock Rovers
    16.06.2017 20:00

    Shamrock to Win @ 1.83 Paddy Power

    upload_2017-6-16_7-14-7.png

    Odds across the bookmakers differ ranging from 1.67 to 1.83 I can't work out if the odds will drop or go higher but I take the price now @ 1.83 as I'm happy with that price as I have the away side @ 1.57.
     

    Attached Files:

    djb38 likes this.
  7. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Results
    Back Shamrock to Win @ 1.83 (0-1) Won +8.30pts
    Profit/Loss of the day +8.30 pts
    Overall Profit/Loss +53.9 pts
     
    mandkay and djb38 like this.
  8. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Keegans head and djb38 like this.
  9. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Sligo Rovers - Galway
    17.06.2017 19:45
    Sligo Rovers to Win @ 2.38 Bet365
    upload_2017-6-17_8-33-56.png
    upload_2017-6-17_8-36-13.png

    Odds for Sligo Rovers have drifted out to 2.38 from 2.15 opening price which is fine by me as I make them a heavy fav for this game at 1.57

    C-Osaka - Shimizu
    17.06.2017 11:00
    C-Osaka to Win @ 1.83 Betway

    upload_2017-6-17_8-40-38.png

    upload_2017-6-17_8-41-38.png

    As you can see from the table above I have C-Osaka @ 1.45 they started @ 1.62 with Bet 365 Betway offered the better odds on this market
    as I looking at the I see Kashiwa have continued to be backed in and have now close to be coming a bet on Kofu not losing.

    Pohang - Ulsan Hyundai
    17.06.2017 10:00
    Pohang @ 2.60 Bet 365
    upload_2017-6-17_8-47-35.png

    upload_2017-6-17_8-49-33.png

    1.85 for Pohang I make it 2.60 over at bet 365 but higher and some other bookmakers Them bookmaker odds tell me the bookmakers reckon the away side is 1 place/ranking above Pohang I'm sorry I cant be having that. 2.60 looks very big

    Kristiansund - Aalesund
    17.06.2017 17:00
    Draw/Aalesund @ 1.57 Bet365

    upload_2017-6-17_8-56-6.png

    upload_2017-6-17_8-56-45.png

    Now As I said in a post before my record isn't great in Norway a couple of teams were overestimated and a few underestimated so I've worked on it and hopefully it provides just a few more winners.

    Now having said that I'm very happy with this selection but also playing it a little safe and I'll explain why

    sides under 50% or under I don't very often back to win (going by my odds) I would back them not to lose. Just above 50% I'd Back if the odds were just to good to turn down like Pohang but most backs I'd say are around high 50's and above. Aalesund are 58% so infact should be a back but due to the fact the rating has had a refresh just playing it safe.

    The odds 2.60 3.10 2.80 I'd expect to see if the Away side were only just a little better the the home side. This isn't the case the gap is wider then that
     
    mandkay and Keegans head like this.
  10. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    2 games played 2 lost :rofl: will update when all games have finished
     
  11. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Results
    Sligo Rovers to Win @ 2.38 Bet365 Lost (1-1) -10pt
    C-Osaka to Win @ 1.83 Betway Lost (1-1) -10pts
    Draw/Aalesund @ 1.57 Bet365 Won (1-1) +5.70pts
    Pohang @ 2.60 Bet 365 Lost (1-2) -10Pts

    Profit/Loss of the day -24.3 pts
    Overall Profit/Loss +29.6 pts

    Not the greatest day I've ever had but I'm happy with what I've seen from the ranking on these selections apart from in south korea.

    Back later or tomorrow
     
    mandkay and Keegans head like this.
  12. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Fluminense vs Flamengo

    Brazil - Série A - 18th June @ 20:00

    Draw/Fluminense @ 1.75 Bet 365

    Chapecoense vs Botafogo

    Brazil - Série A - 18th June @ 20:00

    Draw/Botafoga @ 1.95 bet 365

    Bahia vs Palmeiras

    Brazil - Série A - 18th June @ 20:00

    Palmeiras to win @ 3.00 Bet 365

    Vålerenga vs Strømsgodset

    Norway - Tippeligaen - 18th June @ 19:00

    Valerenga to win @ 2.20 bet 365

    Lillestrøm vs Viking

    Norway - Tippeligaen - 18th June @ 17:00

    Lillestrom to win @ 1.73 888 sport

    Molde vs Tromsø

    Norway - Tippeligaen - 18th June @ 17:00

    Molde to win @ 1.68 888 sport

    Guangzhou R&F vs Shanghai East Asia

    China - Super League - 18th June @ 12:35

    Draw/Guangzhou R&F @ 2.15 Bet 365

    Gangwon FC vs Jeju United

    South Korea - K League - 18th June @ 11:00

    Draw/Gangwon Fc @ 1.75 Bet 365

    Wow busy day today at present I don't have enough time to write my odds but its the same drill all sides are bigger then I have compiled them at after a not so good day yesterday I could of just selected 1 team today to keep me in profit :whistle:. But I believe in what I do so no hiding and on I go :teasing-blah::teasing-blah::teasing-blah:
     
    mandkay and Keegans head like this.
  13. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    upload_2017-6-18_21-16-14.png

    Here was Norway's for today
    Lillestrom,Molde and Valrtenga

    upload_2017-6-18_21-18-41.png

    Brazil's
    Palmeiras,Botafogo RJ and Fluminense

    upload_2017-6-18_21-21-48.png

    China's
    Guangzhou R&F

    upload_2017-6-18_21-23-19.png

    South Korea

    Gangwon

    Here are the odds I compiled for each selection again as soon as every result is in I will update
     
  14. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Results
    Draw/Fluminense @ 1.75 Bet 365 Won (2-2) +7.50 pts
    Draw/Botafoga @ 1.95 bet 365 Won (0-2) +9.50 pts
    Palmeiras to win @ 3.00 Bet 365 Won (2-4) +20 pts
    Valerenga to win @ 2.20 bet 365 Lost (1-1) -10pts
    Lillestrom to win @ 1.73 888 sport Won (1-0) +7.30 Pts
    Molde to win @ 1.68 888 sport Won (3-0) +6.80 pts
    Draw/Guangzhou R&F @ 2.15 Bet 365 Won (1-1) 11.50 pts
    Draw/Gangwon Fc @ 1.75 Bet 365 Won (2-1) 7.50 pts

    Profit/Loss of the day +60.10 pts
    Overall Profit/Loss +89.7 pts


    Nearly a full house but can't complain about the profit made today yesterday was not the best but like I said yesterday I have full faith in what I do. Long term profit is the key I will have bad days I will have good but all I care about is profit long term. I have a look at the brazil game@ 11 tonight to see if there is any value if not I'll be back tomorrow
     
  15. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Bucheon - Anyang
    19.06.2017 11:30

    Draw/Anyang @ 1.83 Bet365
    Bet 365 odds
    Bucheon 2.00 Draw 3.40 Anyang 3.75

    upload_2017-6-19_9-41-27.png

    As you can see Bucheon were 2.30 and even that looked to short now they are 2.00 :confused::confused::confused:. I make the away team fav for this game but only just I think the odds of 1.83 for Anyang not to lose looks massive I'd Price that market @ 1.42 for Draw/Anyang
     
  16. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Results
    Draw/Anyang @ 1.83 Bet365 Lost (6-2) :lol::lol::lol::lol::lol::lol::lol::lol::lol::lol:

    Profit/Loss of the day -10.00 pts
    Overall Profit/Loss +79.7 pts
     
  17. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Cruzeiro - Gremio
    20.06.2017 00:00

    Draw/Gremio @ 1.83 Bet365

    upload_2017-6-19_20-33-44.png

    I have this selection as a 1.66 Shot
     
  18. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Results
    Draw/Gremio @ 1.83 Bet365 Won (3-3) +8.30pts

    Profit/Loss of the day +8.30 pts
    Overall Profit/Loss +88 pts
     
  19. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Selections

    Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama

    Brazil - Série A - 22nd June @ 01:00

    1X2
    Botafogo
    Stake:10pts
    Odds:2.05
    ODDS FROM

    [​IMG]


    Vitória vs Santos

    Brazil - Série A - 21st June @ 23:30

    European Handicap
    Santos +1.00
    Stake: 10pts
    Odds:1.55
    ODDS FROM

    [​IMG]

    PS Kemi vs FC Lahti

    Finland - Veikkausliiga - 21st June @ 16:30

    European Handicap
    PS Kemi +1.00
    Stake: 10pts
    Odds:1.48
    ODDS FROM

    [​IMG]

    Sangju Sangmu Phoenix vs Chunnam Dragons

    South Korea - K League - 21st June @ 11:00

    European Handicap
    Chunnam Dragons +1.00
    Stake:10 pts
    Odds:1.73
    ODDS FROM

    [​IMG]
    Brazil
    upload_2017-6-20_13-58-34.png

    South Korea
    upload_2017-6-20_13-59-48.png

    Finland
    upload_2017-6-20_14-0-45.png

    Not much to go at tomorrow :-

    upload_2017-6-20_14-2-50.png

    Here is a breakdown of some data as you can see Finland Ireland Norway and South Korea I have struggled with and the rankings are in correct after I worked on Norway last week I have had some improved results. South Korea was in positive profit intill the last selection so I'm o.k atm with them. Finland continues to be a right pain in the ass tomorrow selection could have easily been a home win but due to poor performances I'm playing it a little safe intill things improve. Ireland is fairly new but still needs a bit of work.

    using data like this can aid and help to where to improve and see what rankings are correct and which are not.
     
    mandkay likes this.
  20. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Results
    Botafoga @ 2.05 Betway Won (3-1)
    +10.50pts
    Santos +1.00 @ 1.55 bet 365 Won (0-2) 5.50pts
    PS Kemi +1.00 @ 1.48 Bwin Won (1-1) 4.80pts

    Chunnam Dragons +1.00 @1.73 Bet365 Won (1-1) 7.30pts




    Profit/Loss of the day +28.10 pts
    Overall Profit/Loss +116.10 pts


    Will post selections later on
     
    mandkay and Keegans head like this.
  21. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Selections

    Corinthians vs Bahia
    Brazil - Série A - 22nd June @ 23:30

    1X2
    Corinthians
    Stake: 10pts
    Odds: 1.53
    ODDS FROM

    [​IMG]


    VPS vs RoPS

    Finland - Veikkausliiga - 22nd June @ 16:30

    1X2
    VPS
    Stake: 10pts
    Odds:1.90
    ODDS FROM
    Bet Victor
    Ilves Tampere vs SJK

    Finland - Veikkausliiga - 22nd June @ 16:30

    European Handicap
    SJK +1.00
    Stake: 10pts
    Odds:1.67
    ODDS FROM

    [​IMG]


    Two picks from Finland today hopefully I can improve my strike rate.
    [​IMG]
     
    Keegans head likes this.
  22. Keegans head

    Keegans head Yearling

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    Very impressive results well done . I only bet on championship league one and league two , will you be working on these leagues next season ?
    I'm also thinking of having a look at the national league north as a lot of these teams are local to me . Do you go that far down the league's ?
     
  23. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    @Keegans head I have worked on Championship, League 1 League 2, And non league before. At this moment in time it is to early to say if I will have these leagues ready in time for the new season.
     
  24. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Results
    Corinthians @ 1.53 Bet 365 Won (3-0)+5.30pts

    VPS @ 1.90 Bet Victor Won(1-0) + 9pts
    SJK +1.00 @ 1.67 Bet 365 Lost (1-0) -10pts




    Profit/Loss of the day +4.30 pts
    Overall Profit/Loss +120.40 pts


    Small profit gained todays selection posted later
     
    Bold Gait likes this.
  25. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers

    Ireland - LOI Premier Division - 23rd June @ 19:45

    European Handicap
    Sligo Rovers +1.00
    Stake: 10pts
    Odds:1.75
    ODDS FROM

    [​IMG]

    Galway United vs Bray Wanderers

    Ireland - LOI Premier Division - 23rd June @ 19:45

    1X2
    Bray Wanderers
    Stake: 10pts
    Odds:2.38
    ODDS FROM

    [​IMG]


    upload_2017-6-23_5-59-52.png

    As you can see from the table above I have Bray @ 1.60 its very early days In Ireland so ratings maybe a little off but if they are correct great value on the away side with odds of 2.38.
    I start Sligo Rover favs vs Bohemians for the away side not to lose I'd price that @ around 1.58
     
    djb38 likes this.
  26. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Results
    Bray Wanderers @ 2.38 Bet 365 Won (1-2)+13.80pts

    Sligo Rovers +1.00 @ 1.75 Bet 365 Lost (2-0) - 10pts



    Profit/Loss of the day +3.80 pts
    Overall Profit/Loss +124.20 pts


    Small profit gained again today I will post selection for tomorrow early in the morning or later on tonight if I have time
     
    mandkay and Keegans head like this.
  27. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Chongqing Lifan vs Changchun Yatai

    China - Super League - 24th June @ 12:35

    European Handicap
    Changchun Yatai +1.00
    Stake: 10pts
    Odds: 1.91
    ODDS FROM

    [​IMG]
    upload_2017-6-24_8-24-45.png

    Home side are now odds on they look far to short to me
     
    mandkay likes this.
  28. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Ulsan Hyundai Horang-i vs Incheon United

    South Korea - K League - 24th June @ 11:00

    1X2
    Ulsan Hyundai
    Stake: 10pts
    Odds:1.75
    ODDS FROM
    Marathon Bet

    Little value on this selection I have them @ 1.60 to win here. Not many to go at today I will keep my eye of price changing and post more if anything catches my eye
     
  29. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Results
    Ulsan Hyundai @ 1.75 Marathon Bet Lost (1-2) -10.00pts

    Changchun Yatai +1.00 @ 1.91 Bet 365 Won (1-1) + 9.10pts



    Profit/Loss of the day -
    0.90 pts
    Overall Profit/Loss +123.30 pts

    a small loss on the day I may have another bet later but highly unlikely
     
    OnTheNod and mandkay like this.
  30. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Chapecoense vs Atlético Mineiro

    Brazil - Série A - 25th June @ 23:00

    European Handicap
    Atlético Mineiro +1.00
    Stake: 10 pts
    Odds:1.91
    ODDS FROM

    [​IMG]

    Bahia vs Flamengo

    Brazil - Série A - 25th June @ 22:30

    European Handicap
    Flamengo +1.00
    Stake: 10 pts
    Odds:1.44
    ODDS FROM

    [​IMG]

    Tromsø vs Sandefjord

    Norway - Tippeligaen - 25th June @ 17:00

    European Handicap
    Sandefjord +1.00
    Stake: 10 pts
    Odds:1.83
    ODDS FROM

    [​IMG]

    Aalesund FK vs Odd BK

    Norway - Tippeligaen - 25th June @ 17:00

    European Handicap
    Odd BK +1.00
    Stake: 10pts
    Odds:1.60
    ODDS FROM

    [​IMG]

    Jeonbuk Motors vs Daegu FC

    South Korea - K League - 25th June @ 11:00

    1X2
    Jeonbuk Motors
    Stake: 10pts
    Odds:1.50
    ODDS FROM

    [​IMG]

    Suwon Samsung Bluewings vs Gangwon FC

    South Korea - K League - 25th June @ 10:00

    European Handicap
    Gangwon FC +1.00
    Stake: 10pts
    Odds: 1.85
    ODDS FROM

    [​IMG]

    Shimizu S-Pulse vs Ventforet Kofu

    Japan - J-League Division 1 - 25th June @ 10:00

    European Handicap
    Ventforet Kofu +1.00
    Stake: 10pts
    Odds: 2.05
    ODDS FROM

    [​IMG]
    upload_2017-6-24_20-21-22.png

    upload_2017-6-24_20-22-12.png


    upload_2017-6-24_20-23-25.png

    Above is all the odds compiled by myself for the leagues's I have selections in tomorrow
     
    OnTheNod, djb38 and mandkay like this.
  31. djb38

    djb38 Gelding

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    Thanks for your latest ratings and selections @FootballBettingPredictor
    Looking at the Norwegian ratings, molde look like they are very good value away to stromsgodset?
     
  32. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Hello @djb38,
    If The ratings are correct then its outstanding value on Molde on Monday night, the odds currently are 2.05 3.50 3.40 so the home side have come in :confused::confused::confused:. Now in order for me to come up with the same odds on the home team as the bookmakers I would have Stromsgodset ranked 1 place higher the Molde. Having watched a lot of them both there is no way Stromsgodset are a better side then Molde for a start and the gap between the sides is greater then 1/2 rankings. Now the punters have for whatever reason sided with Stromsgodset I guessing without looking at stats maybe they have an ok home record Molde may have an awful away record head to head may favor Stromsgodset.

    Now of course Stromsgodset may go on to win but they are an awful price a lot of people get put off by drifting teams now sometimes when a team is being backed in people know something but because of this when some punters see a big movement in the odds they follow in and the more people follow in the more punters back the team as they think someone somewhere knows something.

    I've seen this pattern over and over again I will take a guess now and say Stromsgodset by kick off will be a lot bigger then 2.05 I give Molde just a little bit more then a flick of a coin (54.64%)
    so its by no means away banker. I will be laying the home team at the odds currently as 54% isn't that high to back as a win. In some cases I will back 54% but look more to 60% and above if i can help it as a back.

    Hope this helps
     
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  33. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Strømsgodset vs Molde

    Norway - Tippeligaen - 26th June @ 18:00

    European Handicap
    Molde +1.00
    Stake: 10 pts
    Odds: 1.80

    Bet of the day :eek::eek:
     
    mandkay and djb38 like this.
  34. Keegans head

    Keegans head Yearling

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    Bet of the day :eek::eek:
    [/QUOTE]
    Do you always bet to level stake ? Are you not tempted to have more on such a stand out bet ?
     
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  35. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Hi @Keegans head,
    No I'm not tempted to have more on this nut I think you are right to rise the question. Now betting the same amount on a team that has 25% chance of winning and 75% of winning looks and sounds madness. But money management is key to success and for me I find with level stakes it aids my gambling. I don't have to sit there and work out what I should put on this and what I should put on that I have a stake and I stick to it. This way I'm in control Say I put a smaller stake on a 35% chance of winning and it won and a much larger stake on a 75% chance and that lost. Lets take today's results the bigger odds won smaller of the 2 lost I was 0.9 pts down that could of been a lot more without level stakes.

    But having said that its whatever works for you some people HATE level stakes I love it whatever you are happy with is the best staking plan for you
     
    djb38 and Keegans head like this.
  36. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Shanghai East Asia vs Henan Construction

    China - Super League - 25th June @ 12:35

    1X2
    Shanghai East Asia
    Stake: 10pts
    Odds: 1.44
    ODDS FROM

    [​IMG]

    Big Drift on the home side if you look at the brazil table above you will see I have them at 1.29 to win they started at 1.13 :lol::lol:. When I compiled the odd they were 1.20 and now they are @ between 1.40 -1.48
    I think the time is now to get on the home side as I cant see the price going much higher.
     
    mandkay likes this.
  37. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Results
    Shanghai East Asia @ 1.44 TitanBet Won (4-1)+4.40pts
    Ventforet Kofu +1.00 @ 2.05 Bet 365 Lost (1-0) - 10pts
    Gangwon FC +1.00 @ 1.85 Bet 365 Won (3-3) +8.50 pts
    Jeonbuk Motors @ 1.50 William Hill Lost (2-2) -10 pts
    Sandefjord +1.00 @ 1.83 Bet 365 Won (1*1) +8.30 pts
    Odd BK +1.00 @ 1.60 Bet 365 Lost (5-1) -10pts :lol::lol::lol:

    Atlético Mineiro +1.00 @ 1.91 Bet 365 Won (0-1) +9.10pts
    Flamengo +1.00 @ 1.44 Bet 365 Won (0-1) +4.40pts

    Profit/Loss of the day +4.70 pts
    Overall Profit/Loss +128.90 pts

    Small profit the struggle goes on in Norway and South Korea
     
    djb38 likes this.
  38. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Results
    Molde +1.00 @ 1.80 Bet365 Won (1-1) +8.00Pts

    Profit/Loss of the day +8.00 pts
    Overall Profit/Loss +136.90 pts


    Keep an eye on the game in brazil hope the price drifts out so I can get on it if not that's me done for today
     
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  39. FootballBettingPredictor

    FootballBettingPredictor Foal

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    Gangwon FC vs Gwangju FC

    South Korea - K League - 28th June @ 11:30

    1X2
    Gangwon FC
    Stake: 10Pts
    Odds:2.00

    Marathon Bets

    This one isn't intill Wednesday but placed now as I feel the price will come in
     
    Last edited: Jun 26, 2017 at 10:27 PM

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