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GREAT EXPECTATIONS.

Discussion in 'Ratings & Utilities' started by Donny, Jun 26, 2017.

  1. Donny

    Donny Yearling

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    Mutineer Wins.:boast:
     
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  2. Donny

    Donny Yearling

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    Kempton 8.35pm.
    Ratings v Market. Using Hrb odds tracker you will have an overround.
    BF EX would be a better method buts that means more work for me.
    2 contenders in this race highlighted in yellow.
    upload_2017-8-9_19-16-3.png
     
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  3. Donny

    Donny Yearling

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    Sorry not highlighted.
    Arab Moon and Banish.
     
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  4. Donny

    Donny Yearling

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    Arab Moon wins.:boast:
     
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  5. Donny

    Donny Yearling

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    Dominating 2nd in the last at kempton.
    At least i know my ratings are in the right Ball park.
     
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  6. Donny

    Donny Yearling

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    Hi all,
    I thought i would look at using my ratings to narrow a field down in Hcps and then look at the form of the contenders.
    Ive looked at the 7.20 at Dundalk 3y old+ Hcp 7f.
    The first Table is the test results for IRE/AW the second Table is for the race .
    You can see that the results are narrowed to the top 3/4 runners.
    The fav Eleuthera is top rated but has not won at this course or weight.
    The 3rd fav ( BF EX) @ 6.2 win and 2.14 plc is Secret Path my second rated and a course and distance winner and only 2 lbs up is my selection Win and plc.
    upload_2017-8-18_18-27-19.png

    upload_2017-8-18_18-28-47.png
     
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  7. Donny

    Donny Yearling

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    Bien Chase wins.
    Not had a great day. :stinker:
     
    markfinn likes this.
  8. Donny

    Donny Yearling

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    Hi all,
    my ratings for york tomorrow,
    upload_2017-8-25_0-20-31.png

    upload_2017-8-25_0-21-38.png

    upload_2017-8-25_0-22-47.png

    upload_2017-8-25_0-24-23.png

    These may or may not be of use. 2 Races are missing my crap IT skills (again)
     
    ArkRoyal likes this.
  9. Donny

    Donny Yearling

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    Hi all,
    My ratings and handicap rank for the 3.20 at catt.
    Magical effect is well clear on both, the BF EX price is 4.1 at the moment.

    upload_2017-8-30_13-24-46.png
     
  10. Donny

    Donny Yearling

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  11. Donny

    Donny Yearling

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    Kemp 8.55pm.
    Hcp rank.

    upload_2017-8-30_20-31-6.png

    Canadian Royal and See you mush seem to be contenders as per rank v Market.
    All a bit rushed so late post.
     
  12. Donny

    Donny Yearling

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    See you mush is also a contender on @Chesham Monster speed.
     
  13. Donny

    Donny Yearling

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    See you mush 2nd.
    Going to have a few days off. :think:
     
  14. Chesham

    Chesham Sire

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    Hi Donny

    Don't just rely on Ratings use other data and other strategies to make a profit

    My Three Selections today

    Screen Shot 2017-08-30 at 21.35.53.png Screen Shot 2017-08-30 at 21.38.40.png Screen Shot 2017-08-30 at 21.38.53.png Screen Shot 2017-08-30 at 21.39.23.png
     
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  15. Donny

    Donny Yearling

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    @Chesham ,
    Thanks for the reply,
    Horse racing ! Harder than the Times crossword. ( i cant do that either )
    I can see from the above your positive A/E using HRB.
    I will use Ratings/Rankings as a guide to narrow the field and then Dig deeper using HRB.
    Donny.
     
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  16. markfinn

    markfinn Mare

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    @Donny
    Its a Chicken and egg situation -without the ratings you have had nothing to thing to reason - without the reason your have nothing to rate. So without knowing which races to target / rate we have no reason to rate .
    For me that's where it must start - race - rate - reason . Difficult but we have to know what races offer a chance of successful rating and reasoning to give a worthwhile return. The return may just be intellectual not financial .
     
    Chesham and Donny like this.
  17. Donny

    Donny Yearling

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    31st Aug.
    Chelms 2.20pm.
    My top 2 are Taper Tantrum 252, Piedita 242.
    Piedita has a current price of Evens.
    HRB gives me this.

    upload_2017-8-30_23-7-37.png
     
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  18. Chesham

    Chesham Sire

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    She has bags of stamina in her pedigree and will be racing off BHA 80 from Saturday and not able to race in 0-75 Handicaps. 2 lb well in tomorrow

    http://www.tattersalls.com/cat/october2/2015/614.pdf
     
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  19. Chesham

    Chesham Sire

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    Screen Shot 2017-08-31 at 00.26.29.png
     
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  20. Donny

    Donny Yearling

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    Hi All,
    Newcastle 9.15pm Hcp.
    Groundworker to win C,D and weight should be no problem 5/1 at present.
    upload_2017-9-12_19-48-47.png
     
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  21. Donny

    Donny Yearling

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    Groundworker Wins @ 5/1 :boast:
    Trainer Hot at present.
     
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  22. Donny

    Donny Yearling

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    Hi All ,
    Kemp 19.45 3yo Hcp.
    I will stick my neck out and go with Munstead Star @ 11/4 with top rated Master Archer as the Main danger.
    upload_2017-9-13_11-58-48.png
     
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  23. Donny

    Donny Yearling

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    Testing my HRB Ratings (rating machine set),
    Munstead Star is top rated with a win chance of 21% so the current BF EX price of 5.6 seems to be *****
     
  24. Donny

    Donny Yearling

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    Munstead Star Wins. :bigboss:
     
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