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VDW hedgehog/stubble - trying to get lucky

Discussion in 'VDW' started by hedgehog, Jul 27, 2013.

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  1. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Hello all,

    looked at 2 races but don't have sufficient time to do a decent job on either. Both would be goers.

    3.35 goodwood, form horses are Ribchester, toscanini, zonderland and Churchill. Notes horses are lightning spear, Ribchester and Lancaster bomber. Common horses are just Ribchester so I'd have focused on that.

    4.45 goodwood, form horses are indulged, titi makfi, three duchesses and white chocolate. Notes horses are indulged, titi makfi, argenterie and white chocolate. Common are indulged, titi makfi and white chocolate so I'd have focused on them

    good luck today
     
  2. Nellsman

    Nellsman Foal

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    Hi @hedgehog,
    2nd and 3rd Hedgehog, you are hitting the crossbar. well done.
    regards
    nellsman.
     
  3. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Thanks @Nellsman, results are pretty strange at the moment so that could just be a fluke.

    Looked at the 2.25 goodwood and it's a pass. Form horses are diamonds pour moi, dubka, natural scenery, aljezeera, mmelodic motion and wild irish rose. Notes horses are endless time, natural scenery and wild irish rose. The common horses are natural scenery and wild irish rose so those would be the 2 I focused on if proceeding.

    good luck tomorrow
     
  4. Nellsman

    Nellsman Foal

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    Hi @hedgehog,
    Goodwood 3:00 :- (1) GM Hopkins (100), (2jt) Zhui Feng, Blair House (98), (3jt) Tony Curtis, Master The World (97).
    Sorry for putting up five Hedgehog, but those are my figures and I ain't clever enough to take any out.

    Good Luck today
    regards
    Nellsman
     
  5. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Well done @Nellsman, you got the 1 2. Very well done.

    I've looked at the 4.40 goodwood but not enough time for a proper evaluation. Form horses are al jazi, eternally, sainted, wild approach, tomyris and tundra. Notes horses are al jazi, eternally and tomyris. Those are the 3 I'd focus on if proceeding. Only al jazi and tomyris seem suited to the going

    good luck today
     
  6. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    I got lucky today, my 3 focus horses filled the 1 2 3 and the focus horses that seemed suited to the going came 1 and 3.

    I think the weather has settled into soft going so as long as it stays that way it should be easier to find winners. Given it's August I doubt the weather will stay that way for long. I suppose it all depends on the jet stream.

    Good luck tomorrow
     
  7. Nellsman

    Nellsman Foal

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    Hi @hedgehog,
    very well done Hedgehog. good luck tomorrow.

    regards
    Nellsman.
     
  8. Nellsman

    Nellsman Foal

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    Hi @hedgehog,
    Goodwood 1:50 :- (1) Scorching Heat (92), (2) Rasheeq (90), (3) Stellarta (89).

    Good luck.
    Nellsman
     
  9. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Thanks @Nellsman

    looked at the 2.25 goodwood and it's a pass. Form horses are platitude, carntop, my reward, felix mendelsonne, shraaoh and getback in Paris. Note horses are arch villain, saigon city and shraaoh. The one common horse is shraaoh so if proceeding I'd focus on that. Shraaoh has run once on soft but was favouritein a high cclass handicap.

    Good luck today
     
  10. Nellsman

    Nellsman Foal

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    Hi @hedgehog,
    Goodwood 2:25 :- (1) My Reward (96), (2jt) Shraaoh, Soldier In Action (94), (3) Blakeney Point (93).
    Goodwood Stewards Cup :- I rate only handicaps and I find it difficult to allocate ratings to horses that have performed in group races.
    Anyway here goes. (1) Sir Dancelot (105), (2) Growl (101), (3) Projection (99), (4) Eastern Impact (96).

    Good Luck
    regards
    Nellsman
     
  11. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Well done @Nellsman with soldier in action. Very well done.

    Shraaoh just seemed to throw in the towel
     
  12. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Sorry @Nellsman, you got the 1 2 in the 2.25 and a placed horse in the 3.35. Very well done

    I've looked at the 5.00 Galway and it's a pass. Form horses are attribution, Mr fiftyone, ronava, Jack the wire and show and go. Note horses are attribution, Mr fiftyone and noche de reyes. Common horses are attribution and mr fiftyone so it's those 2 I'd focus on if proceeding. Both seem suited to conditions but my preference is attribution.

    Good luck today
     
  13. Nellsman

    Nellsman Foal

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    @hedgehog,
    I forgot to ask you, what happened to your lays. You were doing well before I went off on holiday, but I haven't seen any since.


    regards
    Nellsman
     
  14. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Hello @Nellsman ,

    To be honest life intervened and I forgot about them, I had noticed that the recent lays that the horse actually won were form horses so I was in a quandary as how to proceed. I'm a pen and paper man so have the working and will bring the lays up to date.

    Looked at the 3.40 Chester and it's another pass. Form horses are zlatan and Gabriel the tiger. Note horses breakable, Calder prince and zlatan. Common horse zlatan which is okay for the conditions, has draw 1 and is a prominent horse dropping in trip which I think are good signs. Not sure how it will do though.

    Good luck today
     
  15. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Made a mistake in the 3.40, on checking breakable was a form horse. Very annoying
     
  16. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Hello all,

    Looked at the 3.45 Ripon and it's a pass. It's easier to say who aren't form horses namely Wentworth falls and art collection. Note horses are snap shots, Avon breeze and bossipop. In this race captain dion is a list horse. Not sure who will win today

    Good luck today
     
  17. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    I got lucky there, the note horses which would all have been focused on got the 1 2.

    I'm not sure if it is the unsettled weather but a lot of double figure horses are winning. It makes using the odds as a guide problematic.

    Good luck tomorrow
     
  18. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Hello all,

    I've looked at the 7.30 cork and it's a pass. Easier to say who aren't form horses namely dragon fei, glamorous approach and tillys chilli. Note horses are flying fairies, eziyra and key to my heart so all 3 would be focused on if proceeding.

    Good luck today
     
  19. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Looked at the 7.20 Chelmsford and it's a pass. Form horses sagely, blind faith and heartstone. Note horses sagely, glittering jewel and heartstone. If proceeding I'd focus on sagely and heartstone

    Good luck today
     
  20. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Hello all,

    looked at the 6.25 sligo and it's a goer but I'll see if I have time later to complete it. Form horses are bendanella, eight til late, teachers pet and eiri na casca. Note horses are eight til late, teachers pet, eiri na casca and presenting mahler. Common horses are eight til late, teachers pet and eiri na casca, if I get time I'd be focusing on those 3.

    Good luck today
     
  21. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    I've looked at the 6.25 and got it down to eight till late and eiri na casca. I think etl will struggle on the going so my pick is eiri na casca

    good luck today
     
  22. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Got it down to 2 and managed to bet the wrong one!

    I keep forgetting the lesson, if you get it down to 2 bet both!

    Good luck tomorrow
     
  23. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Hello all,

    looked at the 3.50 Haydock and it's easier to say who aren't form horses namely queen in waiting, iseemist and hope solo. Note horses are sainted, futoon and shamsaya which are also the common horses so if proceeding I'd focus on them

    if I have time may look at the g3 at leopardstown later

    good luck today
     
  24. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Looked at the 7.20 and it's a pass. Only non form horse the grey gatsby. Note horses johannes vermeer, stellar mass and Spanish steps which are all common horses which I'd focus on if proceeding.

    Good luck today
     
  25. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    The common horses got 2 for 2 yesterday. Lucky

    Looked at the 4.00 musselburgh and too few runners to do a full evaluation. Form horses are yorkidding, codeshare and Sebastian's wish. Note horses are tawdeea, yorkidding and Sebastian's wish. Common horses are yorkidding and Sebastian's wish and if proceeding I'd focus on them

    Good luck today
     
  26. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Thanks @markfinn

    got lucky getting the winner and a short head from getting the 1 2.

    good luck tomorrow
     
  27. Nellsman

    Nellsman Foal

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    Hi @hedgehog,
    well done.

    regards
    Nellsman
     
  28. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Thanks @Nellsman

    looked at 2 races today but will pass on the full evaluation. Both are at Newmarket

    3.05, easier to say eddystone rock is the only non form horse. Note horses are anythintoday, thundering blue and Atkinson grimshaw, all 3 are common so would be focused on if proceeding.

    4.15, only the warrior and gulliver are form horses. Note horses are khamaary, war glory and gulliver. Only gulliver is common so would be focused on if proceeding

    good luck today
     
  29. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    My common horses got the 1 2 3 in the 3.05 but that's tempered by the sole common horse in the 4.15 coming last
     
  30. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Looked at the 8.00 kilbeggan and common horses are hash brown, archive and black Zambezi.

    Good luck today
     
  31. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    I don't know why I bothered with that last race, took about 40 minutes to get the base data and was won by a horse I'd never have even considered. Another double figure horse wins, it's not even September yet!
     
  32. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Hello all,

    I've looked at the 4.10 curragh and it's a pass. Easier to say who aren't form horses namely moviesta, mr lupton and intelligence cross. Note horses are kimberella, Washington dc and mr scarlet, all 3 are common horses so they'd be the ones I'd focus on if proceeding.

    good luck today
     
  33. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Luckily a common horse won today.

    I've looked at the 7.10 Windsor and it's a pass. Form horses are chiefofchiefs and don't give up. Note horses are celebration day, chiefofchiefs and don't give up. Common horses are chiefofchiefs and don't give up and those 2 are what I'd focus on if proceeding.

    Good luck tomorrow
     
  34. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Lucky again with another common horse winning.
     
  35. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Hello all,

    I've looked at the 7.40 Chelmsford and may complete a full evaluation later.

    Easier to say what isn't a form horse namely boom the groom, zac brown, el astronaute and gravity flow. Note horses are mazzini, yalta and el astronaute. Common horses are mazzini and yalta so if proceeding I'd focus on those 2.

    Good luck today
     
  36. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Not impressed by that result. From 7 races at Chelmsford 3 were double figure odds, you'd expect 1

    good luck tomorrow
     
  37. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Hello all,

    looked at the 6.30 gowran park and all but alluringly are form horses. Note horses are alluringly, aurora butterfly and pocketfullofdreams. Common horses are aurora butterfly and pocketfullofdreams so it's those 2 I'd focus on if proceeding

    good luck today
     
  38. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Alluringly wins so another blank for the common horses.

    Another day, another race
     
  39. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Hello all,

    had some time so looked at the 3.50 Salisbury and it's a pass. Only elysian fields is not a form horse. Note horses are Lucy the painter, pacharana and notice, all 3 are common horses so if proceeding I'd focus on them

    good luck today
     
  40. hedgehog

    hedgehog Mare

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    Looked at the 7.10 leopardstown and it's a pass. Common horses are true valour, intricately and music box

    good luck
     

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