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Niges New LAY thread

Discussion in 'Tips' started by NigelRG, Jul 2, 2017.

  1. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Lay bet for Sun .... 2/7

    2.40 Windsor 1 Valcartier (IRE) ...... on @ 2.5 .... 2nd (win Lay)

    Nige
     
    Last edited: Jul 2, 2017
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  2. steve78

    steve78 Foal

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  3. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Good start with a winning Lay +0.95.

    P/L = + 0.95 ... 1 Won & 0 Lost.... 100 % strike rate.

    Nige
     
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  4. tonyafc

    tonyafc Gelding

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    nice one Nige good to see your still putting them away well played mate!!!
     
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  5. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Thanks @tonyafc hope you're feeling much better,

    Nige
     
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  6. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Lay bet for Tues .... 4/7

    3.15 Brighton 1 Another Eclipse (IRE) ………… on @ 2.04 (NoBet, I'm still making adjustments) ,,,,,,, losing lay @bfsp 1.46

    Nige
     
    Last edited: Jul 4, 2017
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  7. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Monitor bets for Tues .... 4/7 ..... Prefer a more careful start.

    3.15 Brighton 1 Another Eclipse (IRE) 6/4.....Llay bfsp 1.46.flat

    5.30 Hamilton 10 Wee Jock (IRE) 4/5 ..........Llay bfsp 2.00.flat

    7.20 Stratford 1 Altiepix (FR) 15/8 ...............Wlay bfsp 2.91 NH

    8.10 Chepstow1 Miss Tree 2/1 .....................Wlay bfsp 3.82.flat

    Nige
     
    Last edited: Jul 4, 2017
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  8. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Bets for Wed ..... 5/7 ,,,,,,, All bets will be layed @ bfsp with an upper price limit of 3.00.

    4.10 Perth 3 Solway Dandy 2/1.. Price too Hi... 2nd (Nk) @ 9/1 Win-lay

    6.50 Fairyh 4 Rehana (IRE) 15/8 ............NR

    7.20 Fairyh 6 Sankari Royale (IRE) 13/8 ...sh hd 2nd .. Win Lay +£9.97 (bf return after tax)

    7.30 Bath 4 Fujaira Bridge (IRE) 15/8 ... Price too Hi ..Last Win Lay

    Nige
     
    Last edited: Jul 5, 2017
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  9. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Awaiting info to be transferred from my old thread

    Nige
     
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  10. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Not a bad , a NR and 3 Win Lays and only one paying but I will stay with safety first after a 2nd @ 9/1 (12.85 bf) ... +0.997

    P/L = 0.95 + 0.997 = + 1.947 ... 2 Won & 0 Lost.... 100 % strike rate.

    Nige
     
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  11. ArkRoyal

    ArkRoyal Administrator

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    @NigelRG I have moved your posts as requested and edited to show the total for this new thread.
     
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  12. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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  13. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Bets for Thurs .... 6/7

    2.20 Yarmouth5 Glorvina (IRE) 5/4 ....... LossLay ..... -1

    3.30 Haydock 4 Falcons Vision 11/8 ....... WinLay ..... +0.694

    4.20 Yarmouth1 Daira Prince (IRE) 2/1 . WinLay ..... +0.609

    Nige
     
    Last edited: Jul 6, 2017
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  14. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Good recovery, decided to drop non-hcp bets, margins too small....... +(.694+.609) -1 = +.303.

    P/L = 1.947 + 0.303 = + 2.25 ... 4 Won & 1 Lost.... 80 % strike rate.

    Nige
     
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  15. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Bets for Fri .... 7/7

    4.30 Sandown 7 Uae King 15/8 ................ LossLay.. -0.85 ..2 non runners

    5.40 Doncaster2 Justice Lady (IRE) 2/1 ... Price too Hi.. No bet

    Nige
     
    Last edited: Jul 7, 2017
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  16. Samacas

    Samacas Mare

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    Going well @NigelRG long may it continue
     
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  17. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    LossLay only £8.50 due to 2 N/R's ...... -0.85.

    P/L = 2.25 -0.85 = + 1.40 ... 4 Won & 2 Lost.... 67 % strike rate.

    Struggling to stay in the black @Samacas but it is July

    Nige
     
    Last edited: Jul 7, 2017
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  18. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Bets for Sat .... 8/7

    3.40 Leicester 5 Prosecution 2/1.. No bet (Price) ... WinLay

    4.35 Beverley 6 Pepys 2/1............. No bet (Price) ... WinLay

    7.10 Notting 1 Falak (IRE) 15/8.... LossLay ...... -£9.99 :mad:

    Non H sels just to monitor set @ 3.5 max:-


    1.40 Beverley 1 Poets Dawn 5/2 ............... 3rd Winlay

    3.50 Haydock 2 Kachy 7/4....................... 2nd Winlay

    5.45 Beverley 4 Rapid Ranger 5/2..............No bet Winlay



    4.50 Bellewst 5 Tigris River (IRE) 8/11....... 1st LossLay ???????

    6.20 Bellewst 1 Aeglos (IRE 5/2.................. no bet 1st Losslay???????

    8.20 Bellewst 2 Tower Bridge (IRE) 5/2....... 1st LossLay ???????

    Nige
     
    Last edited: Jul 8, 2017
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  19. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Very little info for Bellewstown wont put up any further bets.

    5 winlays and a loss of -0.999 on the day, racing can be shit at times.

    I need to look at where I set max Price and try 3.5 for all.

    P/L = 1.40 - 0.999 = + 0.401 ... 4 Won & 3 Lost.... 57 % strike rate.

    Nige
     
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  20. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Bets for Sun .... 9/7
    HCP

    1.50 Market R 1 Western Miller (IRE) 7/4 LossLay

    4.35 Market R 1 Volnay De Thaix (FR) 15/8 WinLay

    NON HCP

    2.25 Market R 2 Air Squadron 6/4 WinLay

    4.10 Limerick 10 Valgor Du Ronceray (FR) 5/2 Winlay

    Nige
     
    Last edited: Jul 9, 2017
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  21. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    A small plus day but I had to take far higher prices ...... +0.424 + 0.639 +0.208 - 1.00 = 0.271.

    P/L = 0.401 + 0.271 = + 0.672 ... 7 Won & 4 Lost.... 64 % strike rate.

    Nige
     
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  22. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Bets for Mon .... 10/7

    2.30 Worces 2 Wadswick Court (IRE) 15/8 ... WinLay .... +0.609

    8.45 Ripon 6 Mooltazem (IRE) 4/7 ... No longer a bet

    8.25 Roscom 1 Renneti (FR) 5/2 ....... No longer a bet

    Nige
     
    Last edited: Jul 10, 2017
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  23. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    The No bets are due to a sys revamp were Jul is a no bet month .......... +0.609

    P/L = 0.672 + 0.609 = + 1.581 ... 8 Won & 4 Lost.... 67 % strike rate.

    Nige
     
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  24. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Bets for Tues .... 11/7

    6.45 Brighton 1 One Big Surprise 11/8 ...............No Bet (3 n/r's)

    8.55 Roscom 2 Emmas Dilemma (IRE) 15/8 ........ No Bet (price)

    Nige
     
    Last edited: Jul 11, 2017
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  25. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Quite a few Laywins but price is drifting too high thus lowering your profit, so :-

    1 Trying to take an early price on selections.

    2 Try Place lays

    May start slowly, that's probably an overstatement but the figures for the last 12months look good for place lays :-

    upload_2017-7-12_20-45-17.png

    Nige
     
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  26. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Quite a few Laywins but price is drifting too high thus lowering your profit, so :-

    1 Trying to take an early price on selections.

    2 Try Place lays

    May start slowly, that's probably an overstatement but the figures for the last 12months look good for place lays :-

    View attachment 48405

    Nige
     
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  27. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Bets for Thurs .... 13/7

    2.45 Doncaster4 King Of Paris 11/8 on @ 2.36 ...... WinLay

    6.40 Epsom 1 Carouse (IRE) 8/15 on @ 1.6 ........... WinLay

    Nige
     
    Last edited: Jul 13, 2017
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  28. OnTheNod

    OnTheNod Colt

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    Hi @NigelRG how do you get the Lfxl bf pl panel to show up on the stats mine only has the Lay pl. I use the beta version Thanks!
     
  29. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    upload_2017-7-13_11-54-52.png
    If you click on Set up you get :-

    upload_2017-7-13_11-57-53.png

    upload_2017-7-13_12-0-33.png

    Hope you can make sense of that @OnTheNod

    Nige
     
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  30. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Better day for a change ...... +0.95 +0.95 = +1.9.

    P/L = 1.581 + 1.90 = + 3.481 ... 10 Won & 4 Lost.... 71 % strike rate.

    Nige
     
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  31. DANCING BRAVE

    DANCING BRAVE Yearling

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    nice one no bets for me today well done
     
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  32. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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  33. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Bets for Fri .... 14/7.

    8.10 Carlisle 4 Call Me Grumpy (IRE) on @2.12 .... Winlay

    8.25 Chepstow2 Carol (IRE) ................ on @2.16 .... Winlay

    Nige
     
    Last edited: Jul 14, 2017
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  34. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Still going well (I've been there before) 2 more win lays ...... 0.95 + 0.95 = 1.90.

    P/L = 3.481 + 1.90 = + 5.381 ... 12 Won & 4 Lost.... 75 % strike rate.

    Nige
     
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  35. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    New systems which I hope will be the best but it is Racing.

    These are test bets for Sat .... 15/7

    3.00 Chester 6 Jungle Cat (IRE) 11/8 ... Winlay (2.28)

    3.10 Curragh 8 Medal of Honour 9/4 ..... Winlay (4.64) Too Hi

    5.00 Ascot 1 Bin Battuta 9/4 .................. Losslay (5.50) Too Hi

    5.05 Newm (Jly)10 Silken Dancer 9/4 .... Winlay (2.32)

    5.55 Curragh 6 Enable 2/5 .................. Losslay (1.46) Too Low, better price for 'Place' lays

    Nige
     
    Last edited: Jul 15, 2017
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  36. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Plus 3 Place lays, sorry about the first only just got the new system.

    1.50 Chester 1 Jasi (IRE) (1.48)5/2 4th Winlay +1.98

    5.20 Curragh 4 Marsha (IRE) 8/15 2nd Losslay -1

    6.50 Salisbury 6 Island Of Life (USA) 13/8 3rd Losslay -1

    Nige
     
    Last edited: Jul 15, 2017
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  37. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Not a bad start, it was done in a bit of a rush.

    Nige
     
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  38. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Test lays for Sun .... 16/7

    2.35 Curragh 1 Golden Spell PLC 15/8 ... Losslay


    3.05 Perth 1 Iora Glas (IRE) 5/2 ........... Winlay 4.00 Too Big

    3.30 Sligo 1 Fridaynightlights (IRE) 5/2 . Winlay 2.66
    3.40 Perth 1 Ballyvic Boru (IRE) 8/11 ... Losslay 1.83 Too low

    3.50 Stratford 2 Bestwork (FR) 7/4 ...... Losslay 3.92 Too Big

    4.00 Southwell1 Western Miller (IRE) 6/4Winlay 2.76

    5.15 Perth 1 Scottsdale 10/11.................Losslay 1.62 Too low

    Nige
     
    Last edited: Jul 16, 2017
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  39. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    2 winlays will do but Mon I will focus on Place lays.

    Nige
     
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  40. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Place Lays for Mon .... 17/7. ... 2 races have 2 sels probably better to leave, time will tell.

    2.00 Ayr 1 French Flyer (IRE) 5/2 .... 2nd @ 1.22 ..... Losslay..No bet

    2.00 Ayr 4 Poets Prince 13/8 ............. 1st @ 1.38 ...... Losslay..No bet

    2.30 Ayr 2 Heir To A Throne (FR) 2/1 . 3rd @2.00 .... Winlay
    ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 4 ran ...........................
    2.30 Ayr 5 Lomu (IRE) 5/2.................... N/R

    4.00 Ayr 2 Jumira Prince (IRE) 5/2 ....... N/R

    5.45 FLas4 Hungarian Rhapsody 9/4 .... 4th @2.22 .... Winlay

    6.50 Wind1 Running Cloud (IRE) 7/4 .... 3rd @ 1.24 .... Losslay

    8.00 Killa3 Line Out (IRE) 2/1 .............. 1st @ 1.29 ..... Losslay

    Nige
     
    Last edited: Jul 17, 2017
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