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Niges New LAY thread

Discussion in 'Tips' started by NigelRG, Jul 2, 2017.

  1. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    A terrific 'Senior Moment' day ...... Tues .... 29/8... I thought I'd posted todays bet, busy in the garden.....

    3.25 Ripon 1 Veejay (IRE) 7/4 ........ The same was on my win thread.

    Out in the garden I confused the time and had the race @ 3:35 ...... got in just in time to see the race won by
    Veejay @ 2.61. A losslay but a win on my Win thread (makes a change).

    Needless to say I put the bets on just before the off, so I was lucky and saved a Tenner.

    Nige
     
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  2. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Have decided to test on another site just for any feedback, just too little interest on here. No I'm not leaving.

    Nige
     
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  3. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Update as promised, bets up to 4,00 bfsp are looking ok but a small sample. @Samacas

    The bet marked **20 was a cockup, when I put the bet on I forgot to set 4.00 in bfsp so it went on @ 2.9, the price moved above that so I put the bet on again with bfsp 4.00. The bfsp ended @ 2.77 with 2 tenners on it and was a Winlay :cool::cool:'
    It helped with 2 Losslays. :whistle::whistle:

    upload_2017-9-6_19-34-45.png

    Nige
     
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  4. Samacas

    Samacas Mare

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    Small sample as you say @NigelRG but at those prices a very impressive strike rate
     
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  5. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Thanks @Samacas I can say the HRB can claim the success.

    Nige
     
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  6. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    A further update having decided to move up tp £20 bets, the up to 4.00 looks more wothwhile:-

    upload_2017-9-7_19-25-49.png

    The first bet lost by a Hd and the second bet looked like the winner at the last and fell, can't wait for NH to start.

    Good lay weather heading in from tomorrow. @Samacas

    Nige
     
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  7. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Update for the second week, less bets but still an increase in profit, even with 2 snakes (losslays).

    upload_2017-9-13_17-27-42.png

    £59.76 being the end of week 1

    Nige
     
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  8. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Have decided to go back to the more profitable range of 1.9 to 3.25 with less selections, if you get 2 or 3 losers at the higher ranges it becomes far more difficult to recoup those losses. @Samacas

    Nige
     
    Last edited: Sep 14, 2017
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  9. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Lay bets for Tues ..... 3/10....... Just monitoring at present.

    (11) 3.35 Sedgefield3 Western Miller (IRE) 3/1

    (11) 4.20 Southwell4 The Real Snoopy (IRE) 9/4

    (11) 5.10 Sedgefield2 Djarkevi (FR) 5/2


    Nige
     
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  10. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Modified Lay bets for Tues ..... 3/10....... Just monitoring at present.

    (11) 3.35 Sedgefield3 Western Miller (IRE) 3/1 ...... Winlay @ 2.71

    (11) 4.20 Southwell4 The Real Snoopy (IRE) 9/4 ... Too Hi @ 4.57 ... WL

    (11) 5.10 Sedgefield2 Djarkevi (FR) 5/2................. Too Hi @ 5.70 ... WL

    (6) 5.20 Dundalk 7 Medal of Honour 5/2 ........... Too Hi @ 6.34 ... WL

    (5) 8.40 Kempton 11 Hajaam (IRE) 7/4 ............ Too Lo @ 1 75 ... Losslay

    Nige
     
    Last edited: Oct 3, 2017
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  11. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    A Good Day due to a profit on the one qualifying bet, will stick to my price range, they're all bets until the off.

    Nige
     
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  12. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    No bets Wed .... 4/10.

    Nige
     
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  13. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Lay bets for Thurs ..... 5/10....... Just monitoring at present.

    (6) 4.00 Lingfield 3 Dawaaleeb (USA) 9/4 ....... Losslay @ 2.54

    (5)4.35 Lingfield 1 Easy Code 7/4 ................... Winlay @ 4.50 (Too Hi)

    (5)5.45 Chelms 6 Vegas Boy (IRE) 7/4 ............. Losslay @ 2.84


    Nige
     
    Last edited: Oct 5, 2017
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  14. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Both Losslays were well backed on course, the 3rd bet was 4.4 and backed down, on course to 2.84, if in doubt leave it would appear to be the safest policy.

    Nige
     
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  15. Samacas

    Samacas Mare

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    @NigelRG As I think you said yourself somewhere, its better to miss one than to lose one
     
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  16. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Spot on @Samacas I'm recording all at present because I'm monitoring and no cash.

    Nige
     
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  17. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    No bets for Fi .... 6/10.

    Nige
     
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  18. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    No bets for Fri .... 7/10.

    Nige
     
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  19. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    No bets for Sun .... 8/10.

    Nige
     
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  20. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Monitor bet for Mon .... 9/10.

    (6) 5.25 Kempton 7 Sergio Leone (IRE) 3/1 too hi but was a steamer @ 3.45

    Nige
     
    Last edited: Oct 9, 2017
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  21. nicksar

    nicksar Mare

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    Paper trading is the best way until your confident you can turn a profit long term.....not easy as we well know:handgestures-thumbup:
     
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  22. Ferdy

    Ferdy Colt

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    I never paper trade, don't think you learn anything until you have money down.
     
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  23. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    @Ferdy a calm cool approach to gambling is always the best approach, far more is gained when your hard cash is not influencing your approach.
    Your mistakes help you learn without any cost.

    Nige
     
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  24. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Todays was an all day steamer but was Too Hi at 3.45, so a 'no bet' on 2 counts.

    Nige
     
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  25. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    No Bet Tues .... 10/10.

    Nige
     
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  26. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Monitor bet for Wed .... 11/10.

    (10) 4.00 Ludlow 1 The Gipper (IRE) 13/8 .... fell 1st .too hi @ 9.5 .. winlay

    Nige
     
    Last edited: Oct 11, 2017
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  27. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Winlay @ 9.5 but not worth a bet the profit is to £20 :-

    20/8.5 x .96 = £2.24, a losslay would require amost 10 winlays at that price to break even. Not worth the risk.

    Nige
     
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  28. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Monitor bets for Thurs ..... 12/10.


    (11) 1.35 Thurles 2 Born To Size (GER) 9/4… 3.1 Losslay


    (11) 2.35 Thurles 3 Apparition (IRE) 3/1.… 2.35 Losslay


    Nige
     
    Last edited: Oct 12, 2017
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  29. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    WOW, am I glad I'm monitoring 2 bets and 2 Losslays, much better to wait for the tide to turn.

    Nige
     
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  30. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Monitor bets for Fri ... 13/10.

    (6) 6.00 Dundalk 12 Shalailah (IRE) 13/8 .... Too Lo @ 1.81 Losslay .. No Bet

    (5) 7.15 Kempton 1 Dark Blue (IRE) 2/1 ....... Losslay @ 3.13


    Nige
     
    Last edited: Oct 13, 2017
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  31. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    2 losslays but only one counts, the bad results continue still without my cash on them. ;);)

    Nige
     
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  32. Ferdy

    Ferdy Colt

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    I know how you feel!
    I have been experimenting with laying "beaten favourites".
    As usual started off well, then all went wrong!
    I got into the position of having far too many bets in quick succession and losing concentration, making mistakes.
    Time to sit back, analyse the results and decide on just 2 or 3 "good" bets.
     
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  33. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Monitor bets for Sat .... 14/10.

    (5) 5.45 Kempton 1 Vegas Boy (IRE) 11/10 .............. N/R

    (6) 7.15 Kempton 10 Tullyallen (IRE) 3/1 ............... This was a Winlay


    Nige
     
    Last edited: Oct 14, 2017 at 10:34 PM
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  34. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Got pissed off waiting for BF to put up the bfsp for the 7.15 K, they haven't put up the 5.45 K yet.

    So at this time I don't know if it would have qualified as a bet. Will check am.

    Nige
     
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  35. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    It was a valid bet @ 3.21 , so the first Winlay fo some time.

    No Bet for Sun .... 15/10.

    Nige
     
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  36. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    No Bet for Mon .... 16/10.

    Nige
     
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  37. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    No Bet for Tues .... 17/10.

    Nige
     
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  38. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Monitor bet for Wed .... 17/10.

    (11) 2.10 Wetherby1 Platos Kode (IRE) 6/4 ......... 3rd, Winlay @ 2.35 (£20 wins £14)


    Nige
     
    Last edited: Oct 18, 2017 at 7:29 PM
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  39. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Another good lay day, 2 winlays on the trot.

    Nige
     
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  40. NigelRG

    NigelRG Dam

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    Monitor bets for Thurs .... 19/10.

    (11) 5.25 Carlisle 4 Hecla (IRE) 3/1 ............ Winlay @ 2.22 (+£15.57)

    (11) 5.25 Carlisle 6 Mary Eleanor 6/4 ......... Winlay @ 5.89 .... Too Hi

    Nige
     
    Last edited: Oct 19, 2017 at 7:08 PM
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