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Niges New LAY thread

All my lay bets are going to use ‘Liability’ on BF, I will win less per bet but my max. liability will only 1pt.

To make the sums easier I will just put up the BF ‘P & L’ figure at the end of each day.


Bets for Mon …. 31/7

LAY FL/NH/AW

5.35 Windsor 6 Fortitude (IRE) 2/1 ........... Winlay @ 4.00

6.40 Windsor 1 Fast And Hot (IRE) 2/1 ..... Winlay @ 3.90

8.20 Windsor 1 Zebulon (IRE) 2/1 ............ Winlay @ 2.59

Nige
 
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Hi Nigel. With you on fixed liability at least you know how much you can lose and if a losing run comes along the losses are limited. As you will know laying is a slow burner but a steady profit can be made with a disciplined approach.

All the best

Seadog.
 
Hi NigelRG NigelRG The higher you lay the less profit I prefer to lay at shorter odds. I know a poster on here markfinn markfinn and we have had some good afternoons laying the horses but Mark has a different approach to me where he is happy to lay at much bigger odds always 12/1 and above and not to fixed liabilities. I have to say he had great success at the time but there was the odd winner that hurt.

Well done today 3 out of 3

Seadog
 
An excellent day, 3 winlays and the 3 I removed were NR and 2 losslays. I also missed 3 NH winlays, I was out cutting the grass.

Betfair P/L.:-
upload_2017-7-31_20-44-34.png


Which equates to 1.25 points.

P/L=12.491 + 1.25 = + 13.491..(+1.25) . 24 Won & 5 Lost.... 83 % strike rate.

Nige
 
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Bets for Tues .... 1/8

5.30 Beverley 6 John Caesar (IRE) 9/4 ........ Winlay

6.00 Beverley 1 Indian Chief (IRE) 13/8 ...... Losslay

6.10 Worcester9 Get Ready Freddy 7/4 ........ Losslay

7.30 Perth 4 Sonneofpresenting (IRE) 2/1 .... Winlay

Nige
 
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Bad day at the office with 2 winlays and 2 losslays.

BF P & L:-
upload_2017-8-1_19-48-10.png
Which equates to - 1.34 points.

P/L=13.741 - 1.34 = + 12.381..(-.09) . 26 Won & 7 Lost.... 78 % strike rate.

Nige
 
Bets for Thur .... 3/8

4.55 Stratford 1 Cougars Gold (IRE) 9/4 ..................... Winlay

6.10 Ffos Las 1 Brockey Rise (IRE) 5/4 ....................... Winlay

6.55 Epsom 2 Doublet (IRE) 15/8 ....................... NO Bet ... Losslay

Saw this as a bet just before the off, too late:-

3.00 Goodwood 1 Cardsharp 2/1(3rd @1.67)

Nige
 
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Another good day with 2 winlays and ducking the losslay, due to NR's:-

upload_2017-8-3_19-33-21.png

Which equates to + 0.81 points.

P/L=13.07 + 0.81 =+13.88 .. (+1.41) .. 29 Won & 7 Lost.... 80 % strike rate.

Nige
 
Bets for Fri .... 4/8

4.30 Thirsk 4 Take A Turn (IRE) 2/1 ........ Winlay

5.40 Mussel 3 Canny Style 9/4 ................ Losslay

6.25 Newm 5 Warsaan 15/8...................... Winlay

Nige
 
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