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The 2 I've concentrated on are the 3 year olds Puds and Richenza. Of those 2 I'm siding with Richenza 8/1 best odds each way to get her head in front first time in a handicap. Her first 2 races produced 8 winners one of them a graded winner. Last race the winner went on to contest a group 3 in Ireland which included horses running in the likes of the May Hill at Doncaster. One to notebook if today isn't her day.
The slight negative for the favourite would be the trip although he was placed on his only try at the trip. I would still side with him being in such good form and the fact he will act on the going. Another positive is the trainers stats at the track 6 wins from 13 runners
Silver Tassie is 1pound below last winning mark and is a class winner. Didn't shine in the Eider but came back to form last time out at Wetherby. Ran his best race here last year when behind Yala Enki and Seldom Inn with Baywing a short head away in 4th. He raced off 133 then and now off 126. He's a proven class winner and only last year's winner Scottswell has similar level of class but is woefully out of form.
A slight concern with the weight he carries today in these conditions hence 8/1best odds each way.
looked at the 3.40 Kelso and my mk5 favourite is looksnowtlikebrian. 1 for 2 with the weight, 3 for 6 with the jockey, all wins LH, 1 for 4 in the class, 2 for 6 on similar going. The form is good but the layers on betfair are being very generous in comparison to the 5/2 the horse was this morning. If there is some major shrinkage in the odds I may be tempted to bet but at this point a pass.
Looksnowtlikebrian for me. Looks the best on ratings, I believe the jockey is a fairly capable chap, good winning record, won at the class etc. I'm a little worried that he seems to clout things regularly, but otherwise looks okay.
I have had a look at this and have:
BB, not won at distance, 0/10 in chases, 0/14 left handed. Ran a career bes last time 7L 2/9 2m 7f H'c chase, Haydock (soft.) ran much better in first time cheekpieces. Seems to have developed a tendency to finish 2nd lately. Will probably make a good effort again here.
L, has only won at distances up to 2m 5f. Entered in three races at 3m and pulled out of each. Didn't jump wel and had to work hard to win a trappy 3 runner race at Ayr last time when 4/9 favourite only winning by 3/4L. Has to carry 5lb more weight here. Not a good favourite.
SS, carries 21lb less here than last time when beaten 24L 3m 2f H'c chase Carlisle (gs) never seemed to get into a rhythm at all here even though he won the race last year. This was a downturn on his previous race which he won at Ayr 3m H'c chase (soft)
NL, has only finished once in his last 4 races. Pulled up last time at Carlisle but this was his first run right handed so there could be excuses for him.
I'll side with BB and NL tentatively but not bet any.
Have 3 for this Murdanova 10/1 best odds hat trick seeking and could be improving fast, Qeyaadah 13/2 best odds won a class 3 at Redcar a while ago and has been paying the price since, if back to that class 3 form will take a lot of beating now below that mark & Warsaw Road 15/2 best odds another on the hat trick trail who has been finishing his races strongly and can improve again,just a question of his weight that's stopping me going for him alone.
Will back all 3 each way to give a profit