LTD and 2-1??
- Thread starter JamesNich
- Start date
JamesNich
Filly
Thanks Dave, I sure hope so 
Not too much action tonight. Porto are at home to Gil Vicente but the draw odds are over 9 I believe, so shall leave that alone.
Seville at home to Granada, but Seville have been hit and miss this season and aren't exactly in blistering form to say the least.
One that I will have a go at is Exeter v Torquay. I've LTD at 3.7. They met in their last league game (due to postponements), admittedly it ended 1-1. This one could be different however. Reading some quotes Exeter rested some players for that game due to the state of the Torquay pitch. Exeter are unbeaten in 5, whilst Torquay are bottom of the form table.
LTD: @ 3.7
Liability: £50.00
Profit (100%): £18.52
Not too much action tonight. Porto are at home to Gil Vicente but the draw odds are over 9 I believe, so shall leave that alone.
Seville at home to Granada, but Seville have been hit and miss this season and aren't exactly in blistering form to say the least.
One that I will have a go at is Exeter v Torquay. I've LTD at 3.7. They met in their last league game (due to postponements), admittedly it ended 1-1. This one could be different however. Reading some quotes Exeter rested some players for that game due to the state of the Torquay pitch. Exeter are unbeaten in 5, whilst Torquay are bottom of the form table.
LTD: @ 3.7
Liability: £50.00
Profit (100%): £18.52
JamesNich
Filly
With Exeter pressing a bit more now and bringing Jamie Cureton on (used to be a great buy on Football Manager), I'm getting out of this game with the score at 0-1. Loss of £0.18!! My original thoughts and form book thrown out of the window!
B/F: £1,034.19
Profit from PSG game last night £6.08 after 5% comm.
Minus above: £0.18
C/F: £1,040.09
B/F: £1,034.19
Profit from PSG game last night £6.08 after 5% comm.
Minus above: £0.18
C/F: £1,040.09
JamesNich
Filly
Can't see much for tomorrow. Most likely I would go for Stoke v Wigan. Stoke have had some tough games at home recently, so should get back on track tomorrow, but not totally convinced. Think I'll leave it alone. Or at least wait until games go in running and see if anything is worthwhile.
One thing I did notice was that tomorrow in the Championship it is Bristol City v Watford. The leagues worst defence versus best attack. LTD around 3.8 and back 2-1 to Watford (away team) scoreline at 9.6. In total Bristol City and Watford have had 14 home/14 away games this season. In total there have been 114 goals scored in those. An average of 4.07 (114/28). Over 2.5 goals is currently 1.77. Cue a 0-0!
Not going to include on this thread as the team I fancy is the away team and going to try and stick to home teams on here.
One thing I did notice was that tomorrow in the Championship it is Bristol City v Watford. The leagues worst defence versus best attack. LTD around 3.8 and back 2-1 to Watford (away team) scoreline at 9.6. In total Bristol City and Watford have had 14 home/14 away games this season. In total there have been 114 goals scored in those. An average of 4.07 (114/28). Over 2.5 goals is currently 1.77. Cue a 0-0!
Not going to include on this thread as the team I fancy is the away team and going to try and stick to home teams on here.
JamesNich
Filly
Being a Thursday there's not too much action tonight bar the odd cup game. I do like the look of Leicester v Wolves in the Championship though.
Leicester must have made the signing of the window so far in Chris Wood. They're the top scorers in home games this season in the Championship. Scored 13 and conceded 5 in thier last 5 home games.
Wolves are under transition under the boyo Dean Saunders. A mixed bag in thier last 5 having both socred and conceded 7.
LTD @ 4.7
Liability: £50.00
Max Profit: £13.51
B/F: £1,040.09
Leicester must have made the signing of the window so far in Chris Wood. They're the top scorers in home games this season in the Championship. Scored 13 and conceded 5 in thier last 5 home games.
Wolves are under transition under the boyo Dean Saunders. A mixed bag in thier last 5 having both socred and conceded 7.
LTD @ 4.7
Liability: £50.00
Max Profit: £13.51
B/F: £1,040.09
JamesNich
Filly
Must admit I was touching cloth tonight. Hovering over cashing out on odds of around 2 before Leicester scored on the 73rd minute to make it 2-1. As soon as the market re-formed I did cash out however for a £5.27 profit after comm.
Another game were if I'd have let it run it would have been the full 100%. May have to have a review soon and see if it's just worth leaving these as bets (lays) rather than trading them. Time will tell.
C/F: £1,045.36
Lots of games tomorrow, will have a look in the daytime to see if any are worthwhile.
Another game were if I'd have let it run it would have been the full 100%. May have to have a review soon and see if it's just worth leaving these as bets (lays) rather than trading them. Time will tell.
C/F: £1,045.36
Lots of games tomorrow, will have a look in the daytime to see if any are worthwhile.
JamesNich
Filly
Games for today 01 Feb 13
Union Berlin v SV Sandhausen – Germany – Bundesliga 2 – 17.00
This season Sandhausen have been terrible away from home. 6 defeats from 8 games and just two draws. Conceding 23 in the process. Union albeit not prolific in front of goal have only failed to score 4 times in 19 matches.
LTD @ 4.5
Liability £50.00
Besiktas v Karabukspor – Turkey – Super Liga – 18.00
Do find the Turkish football a little hard for goals sometimes. Plus there was the match fixing talk (allegedly) surrounding the football over there a year or two ago. Still, the Turks pay my Missus’ wages so they’re not all bad.
Of all Besiktas’ home games this season 80% of them have had over 2.5 goals. Of all Karabukspor’s away games 90% of them have had over 2.5 goals. Hopefully one or the other can get a couple in front tonight.
LTD @ 4.3
Liability £50.00
FC Eindhoven v Excelsior – Holland – Eerste Divisie – 19.00
FC Eindhoven average 4.13 goals in their matches at home. Excelsior average 3.89 goals in their away games. In their last 8 away games this season Excelsior have lost 7 and drawn 1
LTD @ 3.9
Liability £50.00
Veendam v Emmen - Holland – Eerste Divisie – 19.00
Veendam hit top home form before the break winning 3 from 4. Just hope the break hasn’t stopped them. Emmen have conceded 7 in their last 4 away games.
LTD @ 4
Liability £50.00
Roma v Cagliari – Italy – Serie A – 19.45
The odds of 5 were right at the top end of the scale for this. Roma’s home games this season average out at 3.90 goals per game. In the last four they have scored 11. In contrast Cagliari have conceded 11 in their last 4.
LTD @ 5
Liability £50.00
Union Berlin v SV Sandhausen – Germany – Bundesliga 2 – 17.00
This season Sandhausen have been terrible away from home. 6 defeats from 8 games and just two draws. Conceding 23 in the process. Union albeit not prolific in front of goal have only failed to score 4 times in 19 matches.
LTD @ 4.5
Liability £50.00
Besiktas v Karabukspor – Turkey – Super Liga – 18.00
Do find the Turkish football a little hard for goals sometimes. Plus there was the match fixing talk (allegedly) surrounding the football over there a year or two ago. Still, the Turks pay my Missus’ wages so they’re not all bad.
Of all Besiktas’ home games this season 80% of them have had over 2.5 goals. Of all Karabukspor’s away games 90% of them have had over 2.5 goals. Hopefully one or the other can get a couple in front tonight.
LTD @ 4.3
Liability £50.00
FC Eindhoven v Excelsior – Holland – Eerste Divisie – 19.00
FC Eindhoven average 4.13 goals in their matches at home. Excelsior average 3.89 goals in their away games. In their last 8 away games this season Excelsior have lost 7 and drawn 1
LTD @ 3.9
Liability £50.00
Veendam v Emmen - Holland – Eerste Divisie – 19.00
Veendam hit top home form before the break winning 3 from 4. Just hope the break hasn’t stopped them. Emmen have conceded 7 in their last 4 away games.
LTD @ 4
Liability £50.00
Roma v Cagliari – Italy – Serie A – 19.45
The odds of 5 were right at the top end of the scale for this. Roma’s home games this season average out at 3.90 goals per game. In the last four they have scored 11. In contrast Cagliari have conceded 11 in their last 4.
LTD @ 5
Liability £50.00
JamesNich
Filly
Not a great Friday to say the least. Started off well.
Union Berlin went 3-0 up so stayed in for a full 100% profit on that one. £13.58 profit
Besiktas were going along very nicely 2-0 up and playing against 10 men, so thought I'd stay in for 100% on that one. Then Karabukspor scored one and I only got out then. £6.09 profit. (Karabuskspor went on to equalise and it stayed 2-2.)
Then it went wrong - FC Eindhoven and Veendam both produced a loss of £51.58 in total. Both one all at the time (and stayed that way). Both equalisers scored in the 67th minute. May have to move getting out forward a bit.
Roma v Cagliari didn't go to plan at all. Cagliari one up, then one all. Thought Roma would go on to win but Cagliari went 4-1 up instead. Stayed in for a full profit on that one (so in a way it went to plan). Ended up 2-4. Profit £11.88
All in all a loss of £20.03 on the night
B/F: £1,045.36
Loss: £20.03
C/F: £1,025.33
Then to top it all Saturday morning the Missus car breaks down and spent all weekend trying to get that repaired, finally done today. Onwards and upwards!!
Union Berlin went 3-0 up so stayed in for a full 100% profit on that one. £13.58 profit
Besiktas were going along very nicely 2-0 up and playing against 10 men, so thought I'd stay in for 100% on that one. Then Karabukspor scored one and I only got out then. £6.09 profit. (Karabuskspor went on to equalise and it stayed 2-2.)
Then it went wrong - FC Eindhoven and Veendam both produced a loss of £51.58 in total. Both one all at the time (and stayed that way). Both equalisers scored in the 67th minute. May have to move getting out forward a bit.
Roma v Cagliari didn't go to plan at all. Cagliari one up, then one all. Thought Roma would go on to win but Cagliari went 4-1 up instead. Stayed in for a full profit on that one (so in a way it went to plan). Ended up 2-4. Profit £11.88
All in all a loss of £20.03 on the night
B/F: £1,045.36
Loss: £20.03
C/F: £1,025.33
Then to top it all Saturday morning the Missus car breaks down and spent all weekend trying to get that repaired, finally done today. Onwards and upwards!!