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Speed Test

FRIDAY 14TH JUNE

Quite stunning figures recorded by Reroute and Royal Mezyan yesterday.

Reroute is in the Queen Mary

Royal Mezyan is in the Norfolk and the Windsor Castle.

Be interesting if they turn up.

Royal Mezyan has a DI of 11 and a COD of 0.92 which means he could be well be a very good sprinter.
 
Would be interested in your thoughts on following running today these are what I like from my figures

240 York/classic colori
655 lin/the name is frank
735 lei/Antonio Gramsci
855 lin/understory
any thoughts appreciated
 
Already looked at Understory last night and he has an excellent chance. Only he and Megalala like to lead and I don't envisage a pace battle. I would think Megalala is now regressive and he reared up in the stalls last time. He hasn't produced a decent figure for a year.
Understory won a similar race than this last time and is only 2lbs higher. He doesn't have the blinkers on though he has won without.
His record over course and distance over the last 12 months reads; 165155251. That improves massively in races where the top rated horse had an official rating of 73 or less to 1651521. 112 when in the first three of the betting. In other words when he is to the fore of the betting in a weak class 5 he is worth following.
 
Thenameisfrank was second in the mile handicap on this card last year so there must be a reason why he is swerving that race this year. He is 0-12 over 7f and 1-21 on good to firm which makes him opposable. There are eight that race prominently and for me the race has a big line through it.

Classic Colori is up two grades but only has 2lbs less physical weight to carry. He has never won a race with an average OR of more than 79, 0-21 and never placed in a race with average OR of 88 or higher. He has to improve massively.

Antonio Gramsci is improving and has to again here. He may well dot up as he has conditions to suit but with all 3yo handicaps at this time of year something usually improves out of recognition and all the work done on the race is generally undone by an improver so I never play in them. He has a favourites chance
 
From Saturday 15th June

LEICESTER

Askaud 81-73 +8 7f gd

YORK

Christmas Light 86-75 +11 9f gtf
Kalk Bay 86-80 +6 9f gtf
Robert The Painter 81-73 +8 9f gtf
Pravda Street 78-70 +8 9f gtf
 
From Sunday 16th June

SALISBURY

Rebecca Romero 85-75 +10 5f gtf 11lbs improvement on best figure this season. Improved every run.

Asian Trader 87-79 +8 5f gtf. Improved 5lbs on last figure and looks well ahead of his mark at present.
 
From Monday 17th June

WINDSOR

Couloir Extreme 72-67 +5 10f Gd

Couloir Extreme was heavily eased and probably could be rated higher. It'll be interesting to see where he turns up as the handicapper will have his say.
 
I have a theory about yesterday at Ascot and I may well be wide of the mark but the times have back this up.
There is a strip near the stands rail that is quicker than the rest of the course. This has been confirmed with Mikes figures.

5f Kings Stand, 19 runners

Sole Power Drawn 14, came down stands rail and Won
Pearl Secret came down stands side from stall 10 and was third.
Reckless Abandon drawn 13 was fifth
Heeraat drawn 15 was sixth

That makes the performances of Shea Shea and Jack Dexter look very good as they were drawn 5 and 6 respectively.

Coventry Stakes, 15 runners

War Command drawn 15 1st
Parbold drawn 13 2nd
Sir John Hawkins drawn 10 3rd

Thunder Strike has run well from 7 in fourth

Windsor Castle, 24 runners

Extortionist drawn 28 1st
Supplicant drawn 27 2nd
Anticipated drawn 20 3rd

The next five home were drawn 12,18,4,22,24

The performance of Sacha Park in stall 4 has to be noted.

These are class horses and I'm doubtful this is a draw bias. Plenty of races on the straight course today and the going remains good after a dry night.
 
THIRSK

West Leake Hare 73-65 +8 7f gtf
Teds Brother 70-63 +7 7f gtf
Dhhamaan 61-54 +7 7f gtf

SLIGO

Vasoni 72-57 +15 6.5f yts
Three Bells 62-48 +14 6.5f yts
Killourney Empress 57-48 +9 10f yts

Mike was the going correct at Sligo, two 48 rated horses have run way above their marks here :eek:
 
I had the going for Sligo at -0.64s/f (soft).

When Vasoni won the 6.50 her winning time was 1.21s quicker than the previous race who class was 13lb higher
and who's winner Versilia Gal last 3 speed figures have been 61, 60 and 64, so she has run to form.

Killourney Empress who won the 8.20 earning a speed figure of 57 and beat Liberty's Gift who had an official mark of 80 back in 2011.

Killourney Empress last 2 speed figures have been 57 and 57.

When I assessed the going of -0.64s/f against the whole meeting it looked correct.
 
I have changed the way this is set out to make it easier to gauge when to back them. :king:


WEDNESDAYJUNE 19TH

HAMILTON

SCHMOOZE 66-59 +7 12F GTF 0-60
Schmooze may well not defy his new mark as he will have to run in a 0-65. A weak one would be within his compass but he is no good thing.

EL BRAVO 63-56 +7 12f GTF 0-60
El Bravo looks certain to find a 0-60.

RIPON

SAN CASSIANO 84-74 +10 10F GTF 0-85
San Cassiano has to be backed next time to defy a penalty in a 0-85 or less.

LEGAL BOND 66-61 +5 6F GTF 0-70 SELLER
Legal Bond is included as he run a 70 rated horse to 0.75l off 61. He must pick up a 0-65.

THURSDAY JUNE 20TH

LINGFIELD

PIVOTAL SILENCE 73-65 +8 12F STD 0-70
Pivotal Silence may well be able to defy a slight rise in class but it would have to be a weak 0-75.

GABRIAL THE DUKE 74-67 +7 12F STD
Gabrial The Duke would be a good bet if he is able to get into a 0-70 next time.

WARWICK

KAKAPUKA 75-69 +G 7F GTF 0-70.
Kakapuka probably needs a weak 0-75 to be supported.

SEE THE STORM 74-67 +7 7F GTF 0-70
See The Storm should handle a weak 0-75.

ROYAL ASCOT

ROCA TUMU 104-96 +8 8F GTF 0-105
It will be interesting to see where Joanna Morgan goes with Roca Tomu, he should be able to pick up another 0-105.

QUEENSBERRY RULES 101-95 +6 8F GTF 0-105
Queensberry Rules should be able to pick up a 0-100 somewhere.

TARIKHI 96-89 +7 8F GTF 0-105
Tarikhi has to be backed in a 0-95 next time. He is in the John Smiths Cup on 13th July over 10f and he may well need to win to get in that race.

FRIDAY JUNE 21ST


REDCAR

YORKSTERS PRINCE 57-47 +10 10F GTF 0-75 CLAIMER
Yorksters Prince should be followed wherever he goes after this. A 0-55 is at his mercy.

SATURDAY JUNE 22ND

AYR

MIDNIGHT DYNAMO 80-73 5F GTF 0=95.

Midnight Dynamo should win a 0-80 after this.

JEDWARD 88-83 +5 5F GTF 0-95

Jedward may only go up a couple of pounds for this and would be of interest in a 0-85.

REDCAR

LEXINGTON PLACE 67-60 5F GTF 0-60

Lexington Place should be able take a 0-65. He might struggle in a 0-70.

LINGFIELD

HECTORS CHANCE 74-65 +9 10F STD 0-65
A 0-70 could be there for the taking and he may well win a weak 0-75.

MONDAY JUNE 24TH

THIRSK

ICE BLAST 63-55 6F GD 0-60

It’s doubtful Ice Blast will get another go in a 0-60, if he does he must be followed.

HAB REEH 63-57 6F GD 0-60

Hab Reeh is right on the limit of his official mark but he should be able to win a 0-60.
 
TUESDAY 25TH JUNE

BEVERLEY

TEDS BROTHER 69-63 +6 7.5F GD 0-70
Teds Brother marked his card again and must be followed before the handicapper gets him.

REX ROMANORUM 70-64 +6 7.5F GD 0-70
If Rex Romanorum doesn’t go up too much for this a weak 0-70 may well be within his grasp.

BONDI BEACH BOY 63-56 +7 5F GD 0-60
Bondi Beach Boy won’t get a penalty for this and he looks a good thing to win another 0-60.

BRIGHTON

LIGHTNING SPIRIT 60-52 +8 8F GTF 0-55

A weak 0-60 should be ideal for Lightning Spirit

NEWBURY

WINSLOW ARIZONA 65-55 +10 8F GTF 0-70
Winslow Arizona is worth looking out for in a weak 0-65 or a 0-60 if he can get in. If he can he would be worth supporting.

CLUBHOUSE 70-61 +9 8F GTF 0-70

Clubhouse is a gimme for an 0-65. He may well handle a weak 0-70.

SHAOLIN 75-68 +7 8F GTF 0-70

Shaolin would be interesting in a weak 0-75 but he would be a cracking bet in a 0-70.

KEENE 64-58 +6 8F GTF 0-70

A drop into a 0-60 for Keene would be very beneficial.
 
the 8 oclock newbury could be worth following with the mark the first 3 ran too
cheers nimrob for all your advice
and tbb for keeping updating would be lost without em
:clap: :clap: :clap: :clap: :clap: :clap: :clap: :clap: :clap:
 
WEDNESDAY 26TH JUNE

BATH

WORLD MAP 61-55 +6 11.5F FM 0-60
Difficult to see where World Map can be placed after this. A weak 0-65 would probably be the answer or a 0-60 before he is reassessed.

ALPINE MYSTERIES 66-60 +6 11.5F FM 0-60
Alpine Mysteries shouldn’t go up too much for this and looks worth supporting in a 0-65.

SALISBURY

LOYAL N TRUSTED 62-55 +7 7F GTF 0-65

Loyal N Trusted is one to back next time in a 0-60
 
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