I’M SO GLAD 3.40 NEWMARKET
I’m So Glad ran a cracker in the Bunbury Cup last week to take her course record to four races with two wins and two placed. Her previous third to My Propeller and Jwala in the Land O Burns at Ayr looks strong form with the second beating My Propeller and fourth, Excellete in a listed race at York. I’m So Glad won two races over this course last summer off 90 and 92 and Charlie Bishop’s 3lbs claim makes her very well handicapped today. She drops back to 6f today and in class and she may well take a bit of catching. She is 2-3 in fields of 7 or less runners.
Midnight Flower is the likely jolly and makes her debut against her elders. She won a 0-85 as she liked last time, second has placed twice off higher marks. This is a big ask for the filly but she should run her race. Simcock has an 18% strike rate with 3yos making their debut against their elders, 0-3 this season
Elusive Flame is 9lbs higher than her win in a class 3 here last year, her last win. She is 0-8 in races where the top weight has been rated 90 or higher. She is 0-10 in races that have an average OR of 84 or higher. It is 88 today. She likes to lead but it is doubtful she will have enough pace to keep up with I’m So Glad.
Links Drive Lady is 6lbs higher than her win at Goodwood in a 0-95 and she looks to be still improving. She is now 24lbs higher than she was a year ago. She has conditions to suit.
Poetic Dancer hasn’t won for almost two years and is still 5lbs higher than her last win in a class 4. She is 0-4in class 3.
Charlotte Rosina won a class 4 off 85 at Kempton in May. She does struggle against this level, 0-5 and off 5lbs higher today she may find things happening too quickly. She is 5lbs better off with Links Drive Lady on their meeting in May when just under 2ls behind. She is 0-8 in races where the top weight is rated 86 or higher.
Tassel needs soft ground to show her best. She has never placed in three races on good ground and never run on the ground this quick. She is 0-3, never placed in class 3.
Conclusion: I’m So Glad won a race at next weekend’s meeting last year and I thought that’s where she would be heading after her excellent third in the Bunbury Cup. This looks a good opportunity for the filly and her basic flat line speed should put most of these to the sword. Links Drive Lady is the main danger as she has won three of the last four races she has competed in against her own sex but she may get taken off her feet here.
SULA TWO 5.00 NEWBURY
Sula Two doesn’t often run over this distance. She has won over 17f at Bath and has placed on this course over 16f. She was second to Beyond last time and the third horse, Sunny Future, has subsequently won. She drops in class here and she gives away weight well, 4-13 when in the top three of the weights, 2-6 when top weight. Her record improves when in the first four of the betting to 3-5, 1-2 as top weight. Philip Prince is a regular pilot on the mare and his record of 6-54 in handicaps for Ron Hodges improves to 6-20 when in the first four of the betting and again to 3-4 on Sula Two. Sula Two is pretty adept tactics wise and with no pace in this race she will probably race prominently.
Our Folly has been doing well over 16f with two wins from five races but he is yet to win at this level, 0-6. He was second in a class 4 last time when beaten 4ls by Riptide. He has gone up 2lbs for that and is now 6lbs higher than his last win in a class 5.He is a hold up horse and this won’t be run to suit.
Double Cee has unplaced twice over 16f from just the two runs. He has been dropped a pound since his fourth of six in a class 5 last time. He is now just 2lbs higher than his last winning mark. However, all three of his wins have come on right handed tracks and he is 0-13 going left handed. He is 0-4 on good to firm or quicker and is a hold up horse.
Hi Note has a win and a second from two races over 16f on good to firm or quicker. She was second at Lingfield a few days ago when she had nothing left to give in a class 5,btn 1.75ls, and off 3lbs higher she may well struggle here. She is 9lbs higher than her win in a class 6.
Cosimo De Medici won the Cesarewitch trial off 84 two years ago and hasn’t won since. He will interest people off 78 today but his attitude is very poor. He is often very slowly away and sometimes refuses to leave the stalls. He could easily win this if back to form of two years ago but he is most regressive now.
Rocktherunway steps up to 16f for the first time and has Lee Topliss booked to ride, 2-4 on the horse. He should run well but he is a hold up horse.
Kayef is a 10 race maiden on the flat, 0-9 on turf. He is 0-8 on good or quicker ground and his sole win under NH rules was on good to soft.
Eshtyaaq is an 18 race maiden who has been placed seven times. If he can get back near the form when second in a class 3 two years ago off 73 he might be able to break his duck but he struggled in a class 5 maiden handicap last time and he will soon be eligible for class 6.
CONCLUSION: There appears to be very little pace in this race. Kayef or High Note might lead but Sula Two is happy just sitting off the pace and she is most consistent. She should be able to run the finish out the hold up horses and take her course wins to three.
NURPUR 8.30 HAYDOCK
Nurpur has improved markedly since the application of a hood. She has a win and two seconds from just three races. She was second to good thing Noble Deed last time, in a visor, who was subsequently made favourite for a class 3 at York. Previously, Nurpur finished second to Pipers Note in a 0-95 and that horse has franked the form by winning again off 8lbs higher. The third home was Rhagori Aur who went on to finish a cracking second to Secondo the other day. Back in a hood today and in a 0-75, Nurpur must take all the beating.
Fraserburgh won his maiden in March but hasn’t shown much in handicaps since. He does have a 3l third of seven at Yarmouth in April in the book but 14 horses have come out of that race and all lost. He has never placed in 7 races over 8f.
Jullundar looks to have improved in the visor with two seconds in the headgear. He was one paced last time over 10f and drops back to 8f, a distance he was second in his previous race. The handicapper has left him alone but he is a 12 race maiden.
Gabrial The Thug has been getting well beat over longer and drops back to a mile. He doesn’t look to be progressing, though his sire, Azamour, has a 21% strike rate with his 3yo progeny over 8f, albeit that drops to 12% with maidens in a handicap.
Switcharooney has shown nothing and Dascombe is 1-39 with horse in first time cheekpieces.
World Record should lead here. He won his maiden nicely enough for Richard Hannon but has shown nothing in four runs for Paul Green. He drops in class but Green is yet to get a horse placed in a first time tongue tie from 5 runners. He should get a soft lead though.
Madame Elizabeth has placed in five maidens but she is by Multiplex whose progeny are 0-25 when returning to the track after a break of 6 months or more.
Cardmaster won his maiden last August but was tailed off on his seasonal debut. He steps up to a mile and this distance is right on the limit for the progeny of Red Clubs.
Conclusion: World Record should get a soft lead here with no other recognised front runners in the field. That will suit Nurpur who can latch onto his tail and get a tow. She has the best form in the book and will be suited by the 8f trip. The fact that Tudhope has travelled up the M62 from Ripon to ride two for O Meara speaks volumes.
excellent as usual mlmrod 
